Minority Report

Tahoka, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lynn County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)72°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°42°0%
German model (ICON)70°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°40°0%
The average71°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 66°   Low 43°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 28% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°48°28%
US model (GFS)68°43°1%
European model (ECMWF)66°44°0%
German model (ICON)62°43°3%
Canadian model (GEM)66°39°4%
The average66°43°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 48°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 73%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°47°64%
US model (GFS)63°44°53%
European model (ECMWF)59°49°99%
German model (ICON)61°49°75%
Canadian model (GEM)64°49°76%
The average62°48°73%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 43°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 50 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 3% against a group average of 30%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°3%
US model (GFS)64°48°53%
European model (ECMWF)52°43°35%
German model (ICON)54°43°35%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°24%
The average56°43°30%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.