Minority Report

Tallulah, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Madison Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)69°51°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°54°0%
German model (ICON)73°53°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°0%
The average72°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°35°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°45°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°38°0%
The average57°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°0%
US model (GFS)60°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average57°35°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 60°   Low 40°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°40°37%
US model (GFS)65°42°35%
European model (ECMWF)58°43°44%
German model (ICON)60°39°48%
Canadian model (GEM)59°38°19%
The average60°40°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.