Tampa, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hillsborough County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 78° Low 65° Rain 11%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 25 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 63° | 21% |
| US model (GFS) | 79° | 66° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 78° | 66° | 25% |
| German model (ICON) | 78° | 65° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 78° | 68° | 5% |
| The average | 78° | 65° | 11% |
High 73° Low 58° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 74° | 51° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 73° | 58° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 72° | 62° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 57° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 73° | 63° | 0% |
| The average | 73° | 58° | 5% |
High 64° Low 47° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 65° | 49° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 64° | 45° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 48° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 44° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 50° | 0% |
| The average | 64° | 47° | 0% |
High 72° Low 50° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 73° | 57° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 72° | 52° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 71° | 49° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 72° | 46° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 73° | 49° | 0% |
| The average | 72° | 50° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.