Minority Report

Tavares, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 63°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 14 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—58°14%
US model (GFS)75°61°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°65°12%
German model (ICON)76°65°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°64°8%
The average77°63°7%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 55°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°47°0%
US model (GFS)70°54°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°62°0%
German model (ICON)71°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°58°0%
The average71°55°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°47°0%
US model (GFS)62°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°50°0%
German model (ICON)63°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°48°0%
The average63°47°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 71°   Low 51°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°55°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°0%
German model (ICON)70°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°49°1%
The average71°51°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.