Minority Report

Taylorsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Spencer County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 42°   Rain 63%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 63%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°33%
US model (GFS)57°43°34%
European model (ECMWF)55°44°100%
German model (ICON)56°44°80%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°67%
The average56°42°63%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 36°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 87% against a group average of 52%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°52%
US model (GFS)47°34°32%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°87%
German model (ICON)47°38°50%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°39%
The average46°36°52%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°26°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)47°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°33°5%
Canadian model (GEM)47°26°1%
The average48°30°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°28°0%
US model (GFS)53°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°20°0%
The average51°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.