Minority Report

Tazewell, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tazewell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 36°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 49 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 79%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°65%
US model (GFS)49°36°51%
German model (ICON)50°39°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°100%
The average49°36°79%

Friday, November 13

High 39°   Low 32°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 47 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 70%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°28°58%
US model (GFS)38°33°53%
German model (ICON)39°34°68%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°100%
The average39°32°70%

Saturday, November 14

High 35°   Low 27°   Rain 48%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 52 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 48%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°26°53%
US model (GFS)34°20°29%
German model (ICON)35°30°30%
Canadian model (GEM)35°30°81%
The average35°27°48%

Sunday, November 15

High 40°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°26°1%
US model (GFS)38°20°2%
German model (ICON)43°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)38°31°0%
The average40°28°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.