Minority Report

Tell City, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Perry County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 34%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 71 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 34%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°4%
US model (GFS)54°36°36%
European model (ECMWF)55°41°75%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°19%
The average55°38°34%

Friday, November 13

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 19% against a group average of 8%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°19%
US model (GFS)44°33°5%
European model (ECMWF)46°37°10%
Canadian model (GEM)46°36°0%
The average45°34°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°0%
The average50°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°24°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.