Minority Report

Terre Haute, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Vigo County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 37°   Rain 42%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 51 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 42%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°12%
US model (GFS)48°37°17%
European model (ECMWF)53°39°63%
German model (ICON)50°38°63%
Canadian model (GEM)51°38°57%
The average50°37°42%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 34°   Rain 14%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°19%
US model (GFS)42°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°12%
German model (ICON)45°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)41°36°19%
The average43°34°14%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°25°0%
US model (GFS)49°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)49°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average49°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)52°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)52°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average50°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.