Minority Report

Teton County, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Teton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)49°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°27°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°26°0%
The average50°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°9%
US model (GFS)44°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°28°0%
The average44°29°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 38°   Low 26°   Rain 28%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service36°24°33%
US model (GFS)38°25°25%
European model (ECMWF)37°26°33%
German model (ICON)37°30°25%
Canadian model (GEM)43°25°24%
The average38°26°28%

Sunday, November 15

High 36°   Low 23°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 34% against a group average of 13%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service35°24°0%
US model (GFS)35°21°6%
European model (ECMWF)37°25°34%
German model (ICON)34°24°18%
Canadian model (GEM)37°21°9%
The average36°23°13%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.