Minority Report

Thedford, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Thomas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°0%
US model (GFS)46°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)43°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°0%
The average45°29°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)48°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°25°0%
The average48°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 30°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°4%
US model (GFS)49°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°2%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°29°9%
The average46°30°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°1%
US model (GFS)49°39°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°34°0%
German model (ICON)50°36°3%
Canadian model (GEM)51°30°10%
The average51°34°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.