Minority Report

Thermopolis, WY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hot Springs County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 66°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°0%
US model (GFS)68°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°37°0%
German model (ICON)62°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°42°0%
The average66°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°39°0%
US model (GFS)66°42°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°41°0%
German model (ICON)60°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°0%
The average63°42°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 39°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°33°0%
US model (GFS)61°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)61°39°0%
German model (ICON)60°45°3%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°5%
The average61°39°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 56°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°31°0%
US model (GFS)55°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°37°0%
German model (ICON)55°41°2%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average56°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.