Minority Report

Thibodaux, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lafourche Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 53°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°0%
US model (GFS)78°57°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°54°0%
German model (ICON)77°54°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°52°0%
The average77°53°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°43°0%
US model (GFS)71°49°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°0%
German model (ICON)69°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°0%
The average70°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 62°   Low 44°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°45°0%
US model (GFS)63°44°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°46°2%
German model (ICON)62°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°43°0%
The average62°44°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 47°   Rain 28%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 28%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°51°43%
US model (GFS)71°48°24%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°35%
German model (ICON)68°46°21%
Canadian model (GEM)70°43°19%
The average69°47°28%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.