Thief River Falls, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pennington County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 36° Low 22° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 18° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 23° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 24° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 28° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 17° | 0% |
| The average | 36° | 22° | 0% |
High 34° Low 20° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 35° | 19° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 32° | 21° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 35° | 24° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 34° | 22° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 36° | 13° | 0% |
| The average | 34° | 20° | 0% |
High 41° Low 24° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 25° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 27° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 24° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 16° | 0% |
| The average | 41° | 24° | 0% |
High 47° Low 30° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 35° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 24° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.