Thompson Falls, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sanders County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 64° Low 42° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 34° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 65° | 48° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 66° | 40° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 65° | 40° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 62° | 47° | 0% |
| The average | 64° | 42° | 0% |
High 61° Low 41° Rain 6%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 14°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 33° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 49° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 41° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 61° | 39° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 59° | 46° | 0% |
| The average | 61° | 41° | 6% |
High 52° Low 36° Rain 46%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 29° | 29% |
| US model (GFS) | 57° | 38° | 30% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 37° | 32% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 40° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 34° | 86% |
| The average | 52° | 36° | 46% |
High 54° Low 35° Rain 40%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 54° | 34° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 36° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 36° | 32% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 36° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 31° | 62% |
| The average | 54° | 35° | 40% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.