Minority Report

Throckmorton, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Throckmorton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)76°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°50°0%
German model (ICON)76°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°46°0%
The average76°47°0%

Friday, November 13

High 67°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service68°47°0%
US model (GFS)68°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°48°0%
German model (ICON)64°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average67°46°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 47°   Rain 85%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 85%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°48°90%
US model (GFS)65°42°80%
European model (ECMWF)56°49°100%
German model (ICON)55°48°84%
Canadian model (GEM)63°46°71%
The average60°47°85%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 44°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 69% against a group average of 86%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°42°69%
US model (GFS)67°46°84%
European model (ECMWF)55°46°100%
German model (ICON)50°46°83%
Canadian model (GEM)58°42°95%
The average58°44°86%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.