Tierra Amarilla, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rio Arriba County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 56° Low 33° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 55° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 35° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 56° | 33° | 0% |
High 52° Low 34° Rain 43%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 75 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 55° | 33° | 87% |
| US model (GFS) | 51° | 39° | 12% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 36° | 39% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 34° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 54° | 30° | 57% |
| The average | 52° | 34° | 43% |
High 40° Low 33° Rain 95%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 28° | 89% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 36° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 96% |
| The average | 40° | 33° | 95% |
High 46° Low 28° Rain 7%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 25° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 26° | 5% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 33° | 4% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 28° | 22% |
| The average | 46° | 28° | 7% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.