Minority Report

Tiffin, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Seneca County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 97%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 9 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°93%
US model (GFS)49°40°91%
European model (ECMWF)50°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°42°100%
The average49°40°97%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 64%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°29°58%
US model (GFS)40°33°39%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°78%
German model (ICON)41°33°53%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°91%
The average41°33°64%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 8%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°8%
US model (GFS)43°32°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°2%
German model (ICON)44°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°26°29%
The average43°30°8%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°1%
US model (GFS)46°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°1%
German model (ICON)47°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°27°0%
The average45°34°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.