Minority Report

Tillamook, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tillamook County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 52°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 97 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 100% against a group average of 26%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°100%
US model (GFS)62°52°15%
European model (ECMWF)69°54°4%
German model (ICON)64°52°8%
Canadian model (GEM)64°55°3%
The average65°52°26%

Friday, November 13

High 58°   Low 50°   Rain 99%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°46°100%
US model (GFS)56°47°97%
European model (ECMWF)60°51°100%
German model (ICON)61°53°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°51°100%
The average58°50°99%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 50°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°47°100%
US model (GFS)55°47°100%
European model (ECMWF)57°50°100%
German model (ICON)56°53°96%
Canadian model (GEM)57°51°100%
The average57°50°99%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 45°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°41°99%
US model (GFS)54°44°100%
European model (ECMWF)54°44°100%
German model (ICON)56°48°98%
Canadian model (GEM)55°50°100%
The average55°45°99%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.