Tionesta, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Forest County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 47° Low 36° Rain 81%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 27° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 37° | 83% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 37° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 39° | 100% |
| The average | 47° | 36° | 81% |
High 40° Low 32° Rain 23%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 24 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 25° | 24% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 33° | 24% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 34° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 34° | 29% |
| The average | 40° | 32° | 23% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 51%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 27° | 59% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 33° | 35% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 34° | 63% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 71% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 51% |
High 43° Low 35° Rain 23%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 29° | 14% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 38° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 37° | 27% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 39° | 21% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 34° | 29% |
| The average | 43° | 35° | 23% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.