Minority Report

Tipton, IN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tipton County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 37°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 70%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°61%
US model (GFS)48°38°53%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°59%
German model (ICON)47°39°90%
Canadian model (GEM)46°37°86%
The average48°37°70%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 31°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 41%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°28°22%
US model (GFS)42°31°29%
European model (ECMWF)44°34°71%
German model (ICON)42°32°43%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°41%
The average43°31°41%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 30°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°6%
US model (GFS)43°31°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°4%
German model (ICON)44°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°6%
The average45°30°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°6%
US model (GFS)46°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°0%
German model (ICON)49°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average47°31°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.