Minority Report

Todd County, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Todd County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°1%
US model (GFS)40°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)41°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°30°0%
The average42°30°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°0%
US model (GFS)40°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average47°32°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°1%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°31°0%
The average47°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°36°0%
US model (GFS)53°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)57°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°35°0%
The average55°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.