Toledo, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lucas County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 49° Low 40° Rain 80%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 72 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 41° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 41° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 40° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 40° | 80% |
High 42° Low 32° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 30° | 27% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 32° | 19% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 55% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 32° | 30% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 33° | 48% |
| The average | 42° | 32° | 36% |
High 45° Low 31° Rain 3%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 35° | 6% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 31° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 28° | 5% |
| The average | 45° | 31° | 3% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 41° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.