Tompkinsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 40° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 42° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 39° | 84% |
| German model (ICON) | 57° | 42° | 58% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 40° | 100% |
| The average | 56° | 40° | 56% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 25%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 30° | 28% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 37° | 47% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 10% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 35° | 24% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 25% |
High 48° Low 30° Rain 5%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 27° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 32° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 30° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 48° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 48° | 28° | 19% |
| The average | 48° | 30° | 5% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 32° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 53° | 32° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 22° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.