Toms River, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ocean County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 63° Low 48° Rain 86%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 0°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 72% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 48° | 63% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 52° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 53° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 63° | 48° | 97% |
| The average | 63° | 48° | 86% |
High 52° Low 35° Rain 92%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 30° | 86% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 81% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 35° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 39° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 52° | 35° | 92% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 39%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 69 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 31° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 36° | 39% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 34° | 13% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 35° | 70% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 33° | 70% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 39% |
High 49° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 48° | 39° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 36° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 49° | 34° | 0% |
| The average | 49° | 35° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.