Minority Report

Tooele, UT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tooele County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—44°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°43°0%
German model (ICON)57°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°38°0%
The average57°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°42°96%
US model (GFS)62°46°36%
European model (ECMWF)59°44°84%
German model (ICON)59°45°33%
Canadian model (GEM)59°39°24%
The average60°43°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 96%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°35°96%
US model (GFS)51°35°90%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°95%
German model (ICON)48°35°98%
Canadian model (GEM)47°36°100%
The average47°35°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°38°0%
US model (GFS)51°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°0%
The average51°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.