Minority Report

Towanda, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bradford County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—29°99%
US model (GFS)48°37°100%
European model (ECMWF)49°35°100%
German model (ICON)48°36°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°100%
The average48°35°100%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 32°   Rain 96%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 96%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°27°86%
US model (GFS)38°33°96%
European model (ECMWF)37°33°100%
German model (ICON)38°33°100%
Canadian model (GEM)37°33°100%
The average38°32°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 40% against a group average of 26%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°30°28%
US model (GFS)39°32°14%
European model (ECMWF)40°32°18%
German model (ICON)42°34°28%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°40%
The average41°33°26%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 26%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 26%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°31°28%
US model (GFS)41°30°23%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°25%
German model (ICON)42°36°10%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°43%
The average42°33°26%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.