Minority Report

Townsend, MT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Broadwater County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)60°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)59°37°0%
German model (ICON)56°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°41°0%
The average59°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 60°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°38°0%
US model (GFS)62°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)60°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°40°0%
The average60°39°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 58°   Low 38°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°35°21%
US model (GFS)59°41°16%
European model (ECMWF)59°36°24%
German model (ICON)54°41°10%
Canadian model (GEM)60°38°10%
The average58°38°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°34°0%
US model (GFS)52°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°1%
German model (ICON)53°36°2%
Canadian model (GEM)55°31°0%
The average54°35°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.