Minority Report

Towson, MD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Baltimore County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 46°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—41°14%
US model (GFS)62°45°54%
European model (ECMWF)62°48°99%
German model (ICON)61°49°100%
Canadian model (GEM)63°46°71%
The average62°46°68%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 55%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 55%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°34°30%
US model (GFS)45°36°26%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°80%
German model (ICON)49°37°63%
Canadian model (GEM)46°38°76%
The average47°37°55%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 17%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 17%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°6%
US model (GFS)47°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°15%
German model (ICON)48°34°25%
Canadian model (GEM)46°35°35%
The average47°35°17%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°0%
US model (GFS)48°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°39°2%
German model (ICON)50°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°0%
The average49°38°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.