Traverse City, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grand Traverse County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 45° Low 36° Rain 76%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 60 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 33° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 35° | 40% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 80% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 37° | 93% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 76% |
High 41° Low 35° Rain 70%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 57 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 35° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 43% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 37° | 62% |
| The average | 41° | 35° | 70% |
High 43° Low 38° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 35° | 45% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 39° | 38% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 38° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 41° | 68% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 59% |
| The average | 43° | 38° | 61% |
High 44° Low 37° Rain 16%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 33° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 40° | 15% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 36° | 22% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 23% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 38° | 19% |
| The average | 44° | 37° | 16% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.