Minority Report

Trenton, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Hitchcock County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)59°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°36°0%
The average59°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°30°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°31°0%
The average53°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 33°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 27%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°24%
US model (GFS)53°26°16%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°19%
German model (ICON)52°36°20%
Canadian model (GEM)48°37°54%
The average50°33°27%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 38°   Rain 25%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 54% against a group average of 25%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°6%
US model (GFS)44°40°19%
European model (ECMWF)50°40°22%
German model (ICON)46°40°23%
Canadian model (GEM)50°35°54%
The average48°38°25%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.