Trenton, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mercer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 63° Low 47° Rain 92%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 20 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 80% |
| US model (GFS) | 63° | 49° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 62° | 50° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 63° | 49° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 65° | 47° | 96% |
| The average | 63° | 47° | 92% |
High 49° Low 36° Rain 94%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 46° | 32° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 49° | 36° | 82% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 36° | 98% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 39° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 49° | 36° | 94% |
High 45° Low 34° Rain 34%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 32° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 33° | 28% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 34° | 11% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 34° | 65% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 36° | 65% |
| The average | 45° | 34° | 34% |
High 48° Low 36° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 51° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 49° | 38° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 37° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 32° | 0% |
| The average | 48° | 36° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.