Minority Report

Tribune, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Greeley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 68°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)68°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°40°0%
German model (ICON)67°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)69°39°0%
The average68°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 35°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°3%
US model (GFS)56°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)53°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°33°0%
The average56°35°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 36°   Rain 82%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 65% against a group average of 82%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°81%
US model (GFS)50°32°83%
European model (ECMWF)47°39°90%
German model (ICON)48°37°65%
Canadian model (GEM)41°37°90%
The average47°36°82%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 37°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 83 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 12% against a group average of 60%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°12%
US model (GFS)42°40°42%
European model (ECMWF)46°39°89%
German model (ICON)41°39°62%
Canadian model (GEM)44°36°95%
The average44°37°60%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.