Minority Report

Trinidad, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Las Animas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 64°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)64°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°33°0%
German model (ICON)65°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°38°0%
The average64°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 41°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 7%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°39°35%
US model (GFS)65°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)64°37°0%
German model (ICON)66°41°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°43°0%
The average64°41°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 54°   Low 39°   Rain 59%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 63 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 96% against a group average of 59%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°54%
US model (GFS)54°40°38%
European model (ECMWF)48°41°96%
German model (ICON)58°41°75%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°33%
The average54°39°59%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 35°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°6%
US model (GFS)52°39°46%
European model (ECMWF)51°37°71%
German model (ICON)56°35°45%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°15%
The average52°35°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.