Minority Report

Troy, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Pike County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—42°0%
US model (GFS)72°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)73°50°0%
German model (ICON)70°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°50°0%
The average71°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°34°0%
US model (GFS)57°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°40°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°41°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)55°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°36°0%
The average55°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°37°1%
US model (GFS)59°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°36°0%
German model (ICON)58°34°7%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°0%
The average58°35°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.