Minority Report

Troy, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Doniphan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)48°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°35°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°27°0%
The average47°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°24°0%
US model (GFS)41°25°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°31°0%
German model (ICON)43°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°22°0%
The average43°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°0%
US model (GFS)46°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°27°0%
German model (ICON)46°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°19°0%
The average45°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°30°2%
US model (GFS)50°33°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°29°0%
German model (ICON)51°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°22°0%
The average49°29°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.