Troy, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Rensselaer County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 45° Low 36° Rain 99%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 37° | 98% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 45° | 38° | 100% |
| The average | 45° | 36° | 99% |
High 41° Low 33° Rain 92%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 30° | 66% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 34° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 35° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 33° | 92% |
High 43° Low 34° Rain 14%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 31° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 34° | 8% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 20% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 35° | 20% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 34° | 5% |
| The average | 43° | 34° | 14% |
High 46° Low 35° Rain 10%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 29° | 15% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 37° | 13% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 48° | 38° | 16% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 36° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 5% |
| The average | 46° | 35° | 10% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.