Troy, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Miami County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 52° Low 40° Rain 82%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 44 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 37° | 79% |
| US model (GFS) | 52° | 42° | 56% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 52° | 42° | 99% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 41° | 78% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 52° | 40° | 100% |
| The average | 52° | 40° | 82% |
High 42° Low 34° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 74 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 28° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 33° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 38° | 96% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 35° | 48% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 41° | 35° | 86% |
| The average | 42° | 34° | 57% |
High 44° Low 30° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 34° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 31° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 29° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 25° | 1% |
| The average | 44° | 30° | 1% |
High 47° Low 35° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 31° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 38° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 37° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 49° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 31° | 0% |
| The average | 47° | 35° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.