Minority Report

Trujillo Alto Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Trujillo Alto Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 74°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 91 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 91% against a group average of 32%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—77°30%
US model (GFS)89°73°26%
European model (ECMWF)88°76°91%
German model (ICON)89°73°15%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average89°74°32%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 76°   Rain 18%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°77°20%
US model (GFS)88°74°23%
European model (ECMWF)87°77°45%
German model (ICON)89°78°3%
Canadian model (GEM)89°75°0%
The average88°76°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 89°   Low 77°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°76°40%
US model (GFS)88°75°20%
European model (ECMWF)87°77°81%
German model (ICON)89°80°8%
Canadian model (GEM)90°76°0%
The average89°77°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 88°   Low 73°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service86°75°2%
US model (GFS)88°73°3%
European model (ECMWF)87°75°1%
German model (ICON)90°71°0%
Canadian model (GEM)90°71°0%
The average88°73°1%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.