Minority Report

Tryon, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of McPherson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)52°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°34°0%
German model (ICON)49°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°31°0%
The average51°31°0%

Friday, November 13

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°26°0%
US model (GFS)44°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°0%
German model (ICON)46°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)51°29°0%
The average47°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°11%
US model (GFS)46°26°4%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°2%
German model (ICON)45°31°5%
Canadian model (GEM)46°29°11%
The average44°29°7%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 6%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 14 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°1%
US model (GFS)45°38°5%
European model (ECMWF)49°34°4%
German model (ICON)45°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)49°28°15%
The average47°33°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.