Minority Report

Tucumcari, NM — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Quay County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)72°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°38°0%
German model (ICON)71°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°31°0%
The average71°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 68°   Low 38°   Rain 19%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 62% against a group average of 19%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°47°62%
US model (GFS)69°41°2%
European model (ECMWF)66°39°8%
German model (ICON)66°33°10%
Canadian model (GEM)67°30°14%
The average68°38°19%

Saturday, November 14

High 60°   Low 43°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 67%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service61°43°64%
US model (GFS)63°41°61%
European model (ECMWF)56°45°98%
German model (ICON)60°46°70%
Canadian model (GEM)62°42°43%
The average60°43°67%

Sunday, November 15

High 53°   Low 40°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 23% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°0%
US model (GFS)58°44°6%
European model (ECMWF)48°40°23%
German model (ICON)54°44°17%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°10%
The average53°40°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.