Minority Report

Tulia, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Swisher County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 71°   Low 40°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)71°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°42°0%
German model (ICON)72°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°39°0%
The average71°40°0%

Friday, November 13

High 62°   Low 40°   Rain 3%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°41°11%
US model (GFS)66°42°1%
European model (ECMWF)62°41°0%
German model (ICON)58°40°0%
Canadian model (GEM)62°35°2%
The average62°40°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 51°   Low 42°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 15°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°41°77%
US model (GFS)60°40°83%
European model (ECMWF)49°44°96%
German model (ICON)46°44°85%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°91%
The average51°42°86%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 49%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°5%
US model (GFS)54°43°83%
European model (ECMWF)45°40°51%
German model (ICON)46°42°55%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°52%
The average48°40°49%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.