Minority Report

Tuscaloosa, AL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tuscaloosa County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 48°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 37% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°0%
US model (GFS)71°50°20%
European model (ECMWF)68°52°37%
German model (ICON)69°49°3%
Canadian model (GEM)68°52°10%
The average69°48°14%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)55°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°37°0%
The average55°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°33°0%
US model (GFS)57°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°36°0%
German model (ICON)57°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°32°0%
The average56°32°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 58°   Low 35°   Rain 2%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service59°36°7%
US model (GFS)60°40°1%
European model (ECMWF)57°37°2%
German model (ICON)60°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average58°35°2%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.