Minority Report

Two Harbors, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 29°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—28°3%
US model (GFS)39°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°2%
German model (ICON)37°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°24°0%
The average39°29°1%

Friday, November 13

High 36°   Low 28°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°29°2%
US model (GFS)34°31°1%
European model (ECMWF)37°31°0%
German model (ICON)37°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)34°20°0%
The average36°28°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°0%
US model (GFS)42°29°1%
European model (ECMWF)42°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average42°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°33°0%
US model (GFS)42°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°23°0%
The average44°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.