Minority Report

Ulysses, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grant County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°0%
US model (GFS)68°35°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°38°0%
German model (ICON)70°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°36°0%
The average70°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service58°36°6%
US model (GFS)57°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average57°37°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 37°   Rain 89%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 89%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°37°93%
US model (GFS)51°33°89%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°100%
German model (ICON)49°38°77%
Canadian model (GEM)46°39°88%
The average49°37°89%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 39°   Rain 72%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 72%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°35°13%
US model (GFS)45°41°89%
European model (ECMWF)46°40°91%
German model (ICON)42°41°78%
Canadian model (GEM)43°37°90%
The average45°39°72%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.