Minority Report

Union, SC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Union County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 39 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 15%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)71°48°16%
European model (ECMWF)70°52°39%
German model (ICON)70°44°10%
Canadian model (GEM)70°48°10%
The average70°47°15%

Friday, November 13

High 55°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°40°2%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°0%
German model (ICON)56°36°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°40°0%
The average55°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°29°0%
US model (GFS)54°34°1%
European model (ECMWF)52°37°0%
German model (ICON)54°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°34°0%
The average53°33°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°33°0%
US model (GFS)55°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°30°0%
German model (ICON)56°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°27°0%
The average55°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.