Minority Report

Union, WV — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monroe County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 38°   Rain 68%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 86 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 14% against a group average of 68%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°14%
US model (GFS)51°37°38%
European model (ECMWF)52°40°100%
German model (ICON)51°41°90%
Canadian model (GEM)51°40°100%
The average51°38°68%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 18%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 18%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°22%
US model (GFS)41°32°6%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°24%
German model (ICON)41°35°5%
Canadian model (GEM)42°33°33%
The average43°32°18%

Saturday, November 14

High 39°   Low 30°   Rain 16%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 16%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°16%
US model (GFS)37°29°7%
European model (ECMWF)39°32°29%
German model (ICON)37°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°32°24%
The average39°30°16%

Sunday, November 15

High 42°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)40°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°2%
German model (ICON)44°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°0%
The average42°31°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.