Minority Report

Uniontown, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Fayette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 51°   Low 40°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 56 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 44% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°44%
US model (GFS)51°41°84%
European model (ECMWF)49°41°100%
German model (ICON)49°41°100%
Canadian model (GEM)55°42°100%
The average51°40°86%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 49%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 84 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 49%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°30°27%
US model (GFS)41°34°11%
European model (ECMWF)42°33°31%
German model (ICON)41°33°83%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°95%
The average42°33°49%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 33°   Rain 45%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 81% against a group average of 45%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°32°48%
US model (GFS)41°33°22%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°20%
German model (ICON)43°32°53%
Canadian model (GEM)41°35°81%
The average42°33°45%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 36°   Rain 52%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 55 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 82% against a group average of 52%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°35°33%
US model (GFS)40°35°27%
European model (ECMWF)44°39°45%
German model (ICON)44°38°71%
Canadian model (GEM)42°34°82%
The average43°36°52%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.