Utica, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oneida County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 44° Low 34° Rain 100%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 2 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 28° | 98% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 37° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 36° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 36° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 100% |
High 40° Low 31° Rain 91%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 40 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 26° | 60% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 32° | 97% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 39° | 33° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 33° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 32° | 100% |
| The average | 40° | 31° | 91% |
High 41° Low 31° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 60 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 28° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 33% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 31° | 93% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 31° | 33% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 33° | 76% |
| The average | 41° | 31° | 56% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 19%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 29° | 26% |
| US model (GFS) | 38° | 32° | 14% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 35° | 37% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 29° | 14% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 19% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.