Utqiagvik, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of North Slope Borough.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 15° Low 12° Rain 61%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 17° | 12° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 13° | 11° | 35% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 15° | 11° | 41% |
| German model (ICON) | 15° | 14° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 15° | 14° | 96% |
| The average | 15° | 12° | 61% |
High 15° Low 14° Rain 56%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 16° | 13° | 32% |
| US model (GFS) | 15° | 13° | 52% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 13° | 12° | 21% |
| German model (ICON) | 16° | 15° | 93% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 16° | 15° | 82% |
| The average | 15° | 14° | 56% |
High 16° Low 14° Rain 36%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 47 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 17° | 14° | 41% |
| US model (GFS) | 16° | 14° | 26% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 12° | 10° | 8% |
| German model (ICON) | 17° | 15° | 55% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 17° | 15° | 48% |
| The average | 16° | 14° | 36% |
High 17° Low 15° Rain 62%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 18° | 15° | 44% |
| US model (GFS) | 18° | 15° | 52% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 12° | 10° | 44% |
| German model (ICON) | 18° | 16° | 73% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 19° | 17° | 96% |
| The average | 17° | 15° | 62% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.