Minority Report

Utuado Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Utuado Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 89°   Low 72°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 83 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—74°0%
US model (GFS)90°71°19%
European model (ECMWF)88°73°83%
German model (ICON)87°71°40%
Canadian model (GEM)91°70°11%
The average89°72°31%

Friday, November 13

High 88°   Low 75°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 16%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°74°20%
US model (GFS)88°73°19%
European model (ECMWF)86°76°35%
German model (ICON)87°78°3%
Canadian model (GEM)91°75°5%
The average88°75°16%

Saturday, November 14

High 88°   Low 75°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 72 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service87°73°40%
US model (GFS)88°74°26%
European model (ECMWF)85°76°75%
German model (ICON)87°79°3%
Canadian model (GEM)92°74°14%
The average88°75°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 90°   Low 72°   Rain 15%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 0% against a group average of 15%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service88°71°29%
US model (GFS)94°72°3%
European model (ECMWF)88°75°25%
German model (ICON)87°72°20%
Canadian model (GEM)93°71°0%
The average90°72°15%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.